My thoughts on how the Middle East conflict is shaping the outlook for the US economy (link below)
Bottom line: While the US will continue to outperform other advanced economies under almost any war scenario, the absolute headwinds facing the domestic economy are intensifying. This is a moment for humility and decisive action rather than hubris
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/despite-its-strengths-the-us-economy-is-not-immune-to-iran-war-impacts-by-mohamed-a-el-erian-2026-03
@prosyn
Bottom line: While the US will continue to outperform other advanced economies under almost any war scenario, the absolute headwinds facing the domestic economy are intensifying. This is a moment for humility and decisive action rather than hubris
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/despite-its-strengths-the-us-economy-is-not-immune-to-iran-war-impacts-by-mohamed-a-el-erian-2026-03
@prosyn